Biden Drops Out

Jun 21, 2024

—

President Biden has announced that he will not be seeking re-election this November, a decision that has sent shockwaves throughout the political spectrum. This announcement has left many speculating about the future of the Democratic Party, the presidential race, and this country’s future. With the Vice President as the presumed front runner and nominee, we look at how the electorate might view Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket.

Haystaq has fielded a number of large-scale national surveys on these topics, and we have used the responses to build predictive models. These AI / Machine Learning models give the likelihood of any voter in the U.S. giving a specific response to each question. The models have been tested against survey responses that were not used in building the models, so we know that predictions are accurate. These modeled predictions are appended to our national voterfile as numeric scores, and are available for selecting voter-contact and fundraising universes.

Minority Candidate Score: This metric assesses how likely individuals are to vote for a minority candidate. It provides insight into the broader acceptance and support for minority candidates in the electoral process.
Female Candidate Score: This score evaluates how likely individuals are to vote for a female candidate. It highlights the impact of gender on voter preferences and the potential influence of female candidates in the upcoming election.
Vice President Harris Score: Specifically focused on Vice President Kamala Harris, this score reflects how voters feel about her candidacy. It offers valuable insights into her approval ratings and the public’s perception of her as a potential presidential candidate.

With Biden’s exit, these metrics will play a critical role in deciding the next President of the United States. Stay tuned for more updates and analysis as we continue to track these important developments and their impact on the political landscape. How does Kamala Harris perform in a head to head matchup against Trump? That and more coming soon.

Have questions or want to talk strategy?

Call us at 202-548-2562

We’d love to help you put these insights to work.

Track the evolving political landscape with insights delivered straight to your inbox